Liu Tao
LiuTao24
Beijing Tongzhou TT Club
π ζι³εΊ
π¨π³ CN
1306
Rating
Bayesian conservative rating = ΞΌ β 2Ο. The system is 95% confident this player's skill is at least this value. More matches lower Ο and raise this number.
1519
ΞΌ (mean)
ΞΌ (Mu) is the best estimate of this player's skill level. Wins raise it, losses lower it. Beating a stronger player earns more than beating a weaker one.
106.5
Ο (uncertainty)
Ο (Sigma) = how confident the system is in the rating. Lower is better. New players start at Ο=200 β it falls with every match played.
40%
Win Rate
Wins Γ· (wins + losses). Requires at least 1 match.
4
Wins
6
Losses
Skill Confidence Intervals
Based on ΞΌ and Ο, the system estimates this player's skill range at different confidence levels. The smaller Ο is, the narrower the band.
68% (1Ο)1413 β 1626
95% (2Ο)1306 β 1732
99.7% (3Ο)1200 β 1839
Trust Level
How reliably this player submits match results. Formula: rejections per 10 submissions. Fewer rejections = higher trust.
No data
No submissions yet
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Login / RegisterRecent Matches
| Date | Player A | Player B | ΞΞΌ Change in ΞΌ after this match. Positive = won. The size depends on the skill gap between both players and their Ο values. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21/2026 | π WuHao30 | LiuTao24 | -9.0 | ||
| 4/18/2026 | π LiuTao24 | SunXin92 | +14.0 | ||
| 4/15/2026 | WangWei21 | π LiuTao24 | +6.0 | ||
| 4/14/2026 | LiuTao24 | π YangChao26 | +6.0 | ||
| 4/8/2026 | LiuTao24 | π HuangJie28 | -11.0 | ||
| 3/25/2026 | π LiLei22 | LiuTao24 | -16.0 | ||
| 2/26/2026 | π LiuTao24 | ChenMing25 | +33.0 | ||
| 2/6/2026 | π ZhangJun23 | LiuTao24 | -72.0 | ||
| 1/11/2026 | ZhangJun23 | π LiuTao24 | +90.0 | ||
| 12/21/2025 | LiuTao24 | π ZhaoGang27 | -71.0 |