Liu Tao
LiuTao44
Beijing Shougong TT Club
π ζι³εΊ
π¨π³ CN
1281
Rating
Bayesian conservative rating = ΞΌ β 2Ο. The system is 95% confident this player's skill is at least this value. More matches lower Ο and raise this number.
1453
ΞΌ (mean)
ΞΌ (Mu) is the best estimate of this player's skill level. Wins raise it, losses lower it. Beating a stronger player earns more than beating a weaker one.
86.1
Ο (uncertainty)
Ο (Sigma) = how confident the system is in the rating. Lower is better. New players start at Ο=200 β it falls with every match played.
45%
Win Rate
Wins Γ· (wins + losses). Requires at least 1 match.
5
Wins
6
Losses
Skill Confidence Intervals
Based on ΞΌ and Ο, the system estimates this player's skill range at different confidence levels. The smaller Ο is, the narrower the band.
68% (1Ο)1367 β 1539
95% (2Ο)1281 β 1625
99.7% (3Ο)1195 β 1711
Trust Level
How reliably this player submits match results. Formula: rejections per 10 submissions. Fewer rejections = higher trust.
No data
No submissions yet
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Login / RegisterRecent Matches
| Date | Player A | Player B | ΞΞΌ Change in ΞΌ after this match. Positive = won. The size depends on the skill gap between both players and their Ο values. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17/2026 |  |
π WuHao50 | |
LiuTao44 | -8.0 |
| 5/10/2026 |  |
π LiLei42 | |
LiuTao44 | -5.0 |
| 4/26/2026 |  |
π WangWei41 | |
LiuTao44 | -12.0 |
| 4/25/2026 | |
LiuTao44 |  |
π YangChao46 | -9.0 |
| 4/22/2026 | |
π LiuTao44 |  |
HuangJie48 | +15.0 |
| 4/4/2026 |  |
ZhangJun43 | |
π LiuTao44 | +12.0 |
| 3/31/2026 |  |
WanYan107 | |
π LiuTao44 | +7.0 |
| 3/29/2026 | |
π LiuTao44 |  |
SunFei12 | +33.0 |
| 3/4/2026 |  |
π ZhaiWei128 | |
LiuTao44 | -25.0 |
| 1/19/2026 | |
π LiuTao44 |  |
ZhaoGang47 | +49.0 |