Yang Chao
YangChao46
Beijing Tongzhou TT Club
π θ₯ΏεεΊ
π¨π³ CN
1422
Rating
Bayesian conservative rating = ΞΌ β 2Ο. The system is 95% confident this player's skill is at least this value. More matches lower Ο and raise this number.
1501
ΞΌ (mean)
ΞΌ (Mu) is the best estimate of this player's skill level. Wins raise it, losses lower it. Beating a stronger player earns more than beating a weaker one.
39.7
Ο (uncertainty)
Ο (Sigma) = how confident the system is in the rating. Lower is better. New players start at Ο=200 β it falls with every match played.
56%
Win Rate
Wins Γ· (wins + losses). Requires at least 1 match.
5
Wins
4
Losses
Skill Confidence Intervals
Based on ΞΌ and Ο, the system estimates this player's skill range at different confidence levels. The smaller Ο is, the narrower the band.
68% (1Ο)1461 β 1541
95% (2Ο)1422 β 1580
99.7% (3Ο)1382 β 1620
Trust Level
How reliably this player submits match results. Formula: rejections per 10 submissions. Fewer rejections = higher trust.
No data
No submissions yet
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Login / RegisterRecent Matches
| Date | Player A | Player B | ΞΞΌ Change in ΞΌ after this match. Positive = won. The size depends on the skill gap between both players and their Ο values. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/14/2026 | YangChao46 | π HuangJie48 | -1.0 | ||
| 5/7/2026 | YangChao46 | π ZhouPeng49 | -10.0 | ||
| 5/7/2026 | LiLei42 | π YangChao46 | +11.0 | ||
| 5/5/2026 | YangChao46 | π YangYan66 | -23.0 | ||
| 4/25/2026 | LiuTao44 | π YangChao46 | +13.0 | ||
| 4/21/2026 | π YangChao46 | ZhaoGang47 | +2.0 | ||
| 3/18/2026 | π YangChao46 | WuHao50 | +26.0 | ||
| 2/27/2026 | π ZhangJun43 | YangChao46 | -33.0 | ||
| 1/13/2026 | ChenMing45 | π YangChao46 | +15.0 |