Lu Dan
LuDan121
Beijing Chaoyang TT Club
π θ₯ΏεεΊ
π¨π³ CN
1404
Rating
Bayesian conservative rating = ΞΌ β 2Ο. The system is 95% confident this player's skill is at least this value. More matches lower Ο and raise this number.
1527
ΞΌ (mean)
ΞΌ (Mu) is the best estimate of this player's skill level. Wins raise it, losses lower it. Beating a stronger player earns more than beating a weaker one.
61.6
Ο (uncertainty)
Ο (Sigma) = how confident the system is in the rating. Lower is better. New players start at Ο=200 β it falls with every match played.
56%
Win Rate
Wins Γ· (wins + losses). Requires at least 1 match.
5
Wins
4
Losses
Skill Confidence Intervals
Based on ΞΌ and Ο, the system estimates this player's skill range at different confidence levels. The smaller Ο is, the narrower the band.
68% (1Ο)1465 β 1589
95% (2Ο)1404 β 1650
99.7% (3Ο)1342 β 1712
Trust Level
How reliably this player submits match results. Formula: rejections per 10 submissions. Fewer rejections = higher trust.
No data
No submissions yet
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Login / RegisterRecent Matches
| Date | Player A | Player B | ΞΞΌ Change in ΞΌ after this match. Positive = won. The size depends on the skill gap between both players and their Ο values. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19/2026 | JiaYue119 | π LuDan121 | +11.0 | ||
| 4/25/2026 | π HeBo118 | LuDan121 | -12.0 | ||
| 4/14/2026 | QiLong120 | π LuDan121 | +10.0 | ||
| 4/14/2026 | π LuDan121 | ShaoYong122 | -3.0 | ||
| 4/11/2026 | LuDan121 | π YuHui124 | -6.0 | ||
| 4/11/2026 | π WeiJie116 | LuDan121 | -38.0 | ||
| 3/14/2026 | LuDan121 | π ZhangMin63 | -40.0 | ||
| 2/24/2026 | π LuDan121 | HuLan75 | β | ||
| 12/26/2025 | π LuDan121 | XieTing123 | +105.0 |