Shi Chao
ShiChao112
Beijing Shougong TT Club
π δΈεεΊ
π¨π³ CN
1349
Rating
Bayesian conservative rating = ΞΌ β 2Ο. The system is 95% confident this player's skill is at least this value. More matches lower Ο and raise this number.
1461
ΞΌ (mean)
ΞΌ (Mu) is the best estimate of this player's skill level. Wins raise it, losses lower it. Beating a stronger player earns more than beating a weaker one.
55.8
Ο (uncertainty)
Ο (Sigma) = how confident the system is in the rating. Lower is better. New players start at Ο=200 β it falls with every match played.
44%
Win Rate
Wins Γ· (wins + losses). Requires at least 1 match.
4
Wins
5
Losses
Skill Confidence Intervals
Based on ΞΌ and Ο, the system estimates this player's skill range at different confidence levels. The smaller Ο is, the narrower the band.
68% (1Ο)1405 β 1517
95% (2Ο)1349 β 1573
99.7% (3Ο)1294 β 1628
Trust Level
How reliably this player submits match results. Formula: rejections per 10 submissions. Fewer rejections = higher trust.
No data
No submissions yet
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Login / RegisterRecent Matches
| Date | Player A | Player B | ΞΞΌ Change in ΞΌ after this match. Positive = won. The size depends on the skill gap between both players and their Ο values. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/15/2026 | JiangNa111 | π ShiChao112 | +13.0 | ||
| 5/10/2026 | ShiChao112 | π WangWei21 | -10.0 | ||
| 4/25/2026 | ShiChao112 | π FengMin113 | -11.0 | ||
| 4/15/2026 | ZhaoMei138 | π ShiChao112 | +28.0 | ||
| 3/7/2026 | π ShiChao112 | MaYu93 | +35.0 | ||
| 3/3/2026 | ShiChao112 | π PanXia115 | -16.0 | ||
| 2/7/2026 | MiaoLei110 | π ShiChao112 | +9.0 | ||
| 1/10/2026 | π FuXin109 | ShiChao112 | +10.0 | ||
| 1/6/2026 | ShiChao112 | π LuoGang114 | -105.0 |